Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 15:27 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?” at 69%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

69%

vol cum

M21.8k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2030

Will there be a general consensus among economists that markets significantly overvalued AI companies at any point during this decade? This market will close early and resolve as YES if there is clear evidence of a bubble before the resolution date. It will resolve as NO if there is still no clear evidence of an AI valuation bubble by the resolution date. Related Markets (https://manifold.markets/embed/marnet/will-there-be-an-ai-bubble-in-2023)