Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?

Manifold·Economy

Australia

As of 22:57 UTC on 22 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?” at 1%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Limitless, Polymarket and Gemini.

1%

vol cum

M23.6k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2026

Recession defined as two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth, as published quarterly by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and taking into account any revisions made in the following two quarterly releases. This market resolves with the same criteria as this Metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13922/australia-to-enter-recession-before-2026/