Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
As of 08:13 UTC on 31 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?” at 1%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold and Opinion.

The Artemis3 mission is scheduled for 2025. The chinese space program also is planning to send astronauts to the moon, although they are targeting a later date. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artemis_program#Proposed_missions https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Lunar_Exploration_Program#Upcoming_missions By the end of 2026 if a human astronaut has landed on the moon this market will resolve YES. It does not have to be the artemis mission, but it has to be a new mission (launched after this market was created). [image]