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In 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 06:52 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “In 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters?” at 68%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

68%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M14.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2028
YES 68¢
NO 32¢

This is similar to https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-ai-be-at-least-as-big, but I wanted to control for the possibility that abortion might not be a big political issue. Update 2026-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on the balance of evidence rather than a specific source.

timeline
opened · Sep 10, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2028
In 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters? · prices over time
−24h
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volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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