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In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 22:07 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?” at 94%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

94%
vol cum
M2.6M
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2028
YES 94¢
NO 6¢

I will resolve this based on some combination of how much it gets talked about in elections, how much money goes to interest groups on both topics, and how much of the "political conversation" seems to be about either.

timeline
opened · Feb 20, 2023opencloses · Jan 2, 2028
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion? · prices over time
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