Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
As of 01:05 UTC on 23 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 6 markets in “Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?” on Manifold are “In 2028, AI be as big a political issue as abortion” at 91%, “In 2027, AI be as big a political issue as abortion” at 85% and “In 2026, AI be as big a political issue as abortion” at 80%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.
Will resolve at the end of each year according to Scott's original resolution: I will resolve this based on some combination of how much it gets talked about in elections, how much money goes to interest groups on both topics, and how much of the "political conversation" seems to be about either.
