Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 23:20 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?” at 33%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

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Jan 1, 2030

Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.