Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?” at 48%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

48%

vol cum

M28.4k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2030

(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/3648/)