Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026

As of 01:52 UTC on 12 Nov 2026, “OpenAI” leads “Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)” on Manifold at 45%, followed by “Anthropic” at 44% and “Google” at 6% (+1pp in 24h), out of 8 outcomes. The event has M$30 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.