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When will AI score above 185 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jul 1, 2027

As of 04:36 UTC on 12 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “When will AI score above 185 on Epoch Capabilities Index?” on Kalshi are “Before Feb 1, 2027” at 71%, “Before Apr 1, 2027” at 0% and “Before Dec 1, 2026” at 0%. The event has $2.6k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$2.6k
outcomes
5
ends
Jul 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before Feb 1, 2027
rank #1
71¢
▲ 71.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$2.6k
spread
0.09
ends
Feb 1, 2027

If any AI model company records above 185 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before February 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 10, 2026opencloses · Feb 1, 2027
Before Feb 1, 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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