Will there be another major Sam Altman controversy?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 20:38 UTC on 4 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be another major Sam Altman controversy?” at 67%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Predict.

Resolves Yes if there's a Sam Altman controversy that is as big as the ousting event in 2023. Determination will be based on news coverage and community consensus. Resolves No if there's no major controversy before 2030.