Will Sam Altman be considered a grifter by 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Feb 1, 2030

As of 13:29 UTC on 5 May 2026, “YES” leads “Will Sam Altman be considered a grifter by 2030?” on Manifold at 51%, followed by “NO” at 49%, out of 2 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

On the 1st of January 2030, a poll will be launched with the question: "Is Sam Altman a grifter?" If the word "grifter" falls out of popular use by that time, the question will read: "Is Sam Altman a grifter (i.e. snake oil salesman, scam artist)"? The poll will be open for 1 month; if the majority of votes say "YES", this question will resolve to "YES", if not, it will resolve to "NO".