Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?” at 90%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

To determine if AGI is achieved we will use a combination of other markets / mainstream news / Manifold poll if need be