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Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?

Manifold·Science and Technology
62%
vol cum
M4.8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 62¢
NO 38¢

Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI and a former YCombinator president. Right now, I admire him a lot for succeeding with OpenAI, particularly after the work he has done at YCombinator. It seems he has skill, given he coached many startups, and when he left for the playing field, he crushed it. On the other hand, his endeavors with Worldcoin are adding some cognitive dissonance. Particularly because he's still pushing this in 2023, after the crypto debacle. One would expect that OpenAI is enough fun for one. The fact he made a world tour is so keen on attaching his own image to OpenAI is also weird to my view of him. This market resolves to YES if at any point before the end of 2026, I consider him a grifter: someone without ethics, that is trying to get rich quick, that engages in business endeavors knowingly bad, and so on. I consider Elon Musk a grifter, as also the a16z complex, Chamath, Sacks, SBF, and many others. I won't bet.

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opened · Jul 27, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
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