Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 16:20 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?” at 79%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Predict and Polymarket.

79%

vol cum

M6.7k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 21, 2029

Resolves to "Yes" if the person elected in Nov. 2024 is serving as U.S. President on the day of the next inauguration (20 Jan. 2029).