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Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
Manifold·Politics
United States
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.” at 15%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Limitless and Polymarket.

15%
vol cum
M3.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 13, 2029
YES 15¢
NO 85¢
Resolves YES if they die before inauguration. If they die before inauguration, they aren't the next President, so this wouldn't resolve yet.
timeline
opened · Jan 15, 2024opencloses · Jan 13, 2029