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After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?
Manifold·World·ends Feb 1, 2030
As of 02:05 UTC on 3 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 11 markets in “After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?” on Manifold are “Kyiv (oblast)” at 91%, “Chernihiv” at 91% and “Odessa” at 90%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.
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If a region is partially held, resolves to the % in land area that is held by Ukraine. The war will end when the linked Wikipedia page shows an end date (excluding vandalism, and only after some time has passed). Note that this will probably require more than just a ceasefire. Feel free to add a region, but invalid answers will be N/Aed
ukraineukrainerussia-warsubsidy-spotlight
