Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?
As of 16:06 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?” at 2%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
According to https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide, we spend 6.75T per year, up 10% from last year. We take in as taxes 4.92T as tax revenue. Elon musk has said that he wants to cut the govt spending by "at least 2t" https://thehill.com/business/4966789-elon-musk-skepticism-2-trillion-spending-cuts/, https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/elon-musk-claims-he-can-cut-2-trillion-from-us-budget-at-donald-trump-rally/articleshow/114672947.cms?from=mdr . "The amount by which spending exceeded revenue, $1.83 trillion in 2024, is referred to as deficit spending." Resolution: By the end of Trump's term, will the quoted number on fiscaldata.treasury.gov for deficit spending be less than 0.83T
