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event8 outcomes

How much time will SBF serve in jail/prison/house-arrest?

Manifold·Crypto·ends Oct 19, 2090
vol cum
M144.4k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
8
ends
Oct 19, 2090
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Including pretrial detention. Including the house arrest part of the pretrial detention. For each interval the first number is inclusive and the second number is exclusive. Resolves whenever SBF is either dead or a free man (not just out on bail) Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Individual answers cannot be resolved separately - the market will resolve all answers together when SBF is either dead or a free man (not just out on bail).

ftxsbfsbf-trialprison-marketssbf-trial-sentence
marketselected outcome
20-30 years
rank #1
53¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M106
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Oct 19, 2090
timeline
opened · Oct 11, 2023opencloses · Oct 19, 2090
20-30 years · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
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