What is the best explanation to the Fermi Paradox?
As of 13:29 UTC on 5 May 2026, “We're the first and/or only intelligent life in our light cone” leads “What is the best explanation to the Fermi Paradox?” on Manifold at 39%, followed by “The "Grabby Aliens" hypothesis” at 29% and “Something else” at 21%, out of 6 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.
Parallel to this market, but with different options. https://manifold.markets/lukalot/solution-for-the-fermi-paradox And I'm stealing the criteria: "Resolves when a solution to the Fermi Paradox is widely agreed upon in the scientific community in response to empirical evidence." For context, the "Grabby Aliens" hypothesis is here for those who haven't heard of it: https://grabbyaliens.com
