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event111 outcomes

Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

Manifold·Politics·ends Sep 9, 9999

As of 13:04 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 111 markets in “Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?” on Manifold are “J. D. Vance” at 28%, “Marco Rubio” at 20% and “Josh Shapiro” at 18%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
M135.8k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
111
ends
Sep 9, 9999
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 111

This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential. An answer resolves YES upon their presidential inauguration or their being sworn in. Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become president. I may edit or N/A added answers for any reason, e.g. duplicates, ambiguity, insufficient fame for coverage of death, inapplicability, inappropriateness, etc.

politics-defaultfuture-us-presidents2024-us-presidential-electionus-politicswill-they-be-leader-someday
marketselected outcome
J. D. Vance
rank #1
United States
28¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M721
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Sep 9, 9999
timeline
opened · Mar 27, 2024opencloses · Sep 9, 9999
J. D. Vance · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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