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event25 outcomes

Who will be the President of France at some point in their life?

Manifold·Politics·ends Sep 9, 9999

As of 11:43 UTC on 4 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 25 markets in “Who will be the President of France at some point in their life?” on Manifold are “Marine Le Pen” at 38%, “Gabriel Attal” at 35% and “Jordan Bardella” at 33%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Manifold, Predict, Limitless, Gemini, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
M7.7k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
25
ends
Sep 9, 9999
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 25

This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential. An answer resolves YES when that person becomes president of the French Republic. Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become president. I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.

politics-defaultfrench-politicsfranceemmanuel-macronwill-they-be-leader-someday
marketselected outcome
Marine Le Pen
rank #1
France
38¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M212
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Sep 9, 9999
timeline
opened · Mar 27, 2024opencloses · Sep 9, 9999
Marine Le Pen · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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