opentrade on
↗
event10 outcomes
Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates
vol cum
M5.3k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
10
ends
Jan 2, 2030
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
Using Wikipedia’s characterization of the government type to resolve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba For clarity, communist in this case means Marxist-Lennist: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_socialist_states Each year will resolve individually, so if the government changes form in 2026 and then stays the same from there on out, the both Jan 1, 2027 and the following years will resolve as NO.
politics-defaultcubauscuba-relations
marketselected outcome
Jan 1, 2025
rank #1 · resolved: yes
Cuba
100¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M0
vol 24h
—
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2030
timeline
opened · May 31, 2026closedresolved · Sep 9, 2026
Jan 1, 2025 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataRegime change in Cuba by 2030?
yes63¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
yes13¢▲ 1.0pp
$23 24h · 1 market
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
Before Jan 1, 202710¢▼ 1.0ppBefore May 1, 20260¢Before Aug 1, 20260¢
$8 24h · 3 markets
Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?
yes10¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
yes7¢· 0.0pp
$2.1k 24h · 1 market
Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba?
Before October 1, 202612¢▲ 5.0ppBefore September 1, 20267¢Before July 1, 20264¢
+1 others
$31 24h · 4 markets