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event10 outcomes

Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 2, 2030

As of 06:51 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates” on Manifold are “Jan 1, 2025” at 100%, “October 1, 2024” at 100% and “July 1, 2024” at 100%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Using Wikipedia’s characterization of the government type to resolve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba For clarity, communist in this case means Marxist-Lennist: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_socialist_states Each year will resolve individually, so if the government changes form in 2026 and then stays the same from there on out, the both Jan 1, 2027 and the following years will resolve as NO.

politics-defaultcubauscuba-relations
marketselected outcome
Jan 1, 2025
rank #1 · resolved: yes
Cuba
100¢
· 0.0pp
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Jan 2, 2030
timeline
opened · May 31, 2026closedresolved · Oct 23, 2026
Jan 1, 2025 · prices over time
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