New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
As of 22:51 UTC on 26 Aug 2026, “The case will settle out of court” leads “New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?” on Manifold at 37%, followed by “The New York Times will win the lawsuit” at 27% and “OpenAI will win the lawsuit” at 19%, out of 4 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.
The New York Times' lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft for alleged copyright infringement in training its AI models has raised critical questions about intellectual property in the age of artificial intelligence. As of December 27, 2023 OpenAI has not yet responded publicly to the lawsuit. Both parties are likely engaging in legal strategy and potentially settlement negotiations. Similar lawsuits by authors against OpenAI are also pending, potentially influencing the legal landscape surrounding AI training and copyright. This case could have significant implications for the future of AI development and the copyright rights of content creators. This market focuses solely on the outcome of the initial lawsuit, excluding subsequent appeals. Resolves “The New York Times will win the lawsuit” if the outcome of the initial lawsuit is in favor of the NYT on any count.
