p|datav0.1news233
opentrade on Manifold ↗
marketsingle market

Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years?

Manifold·Science and Technology
71%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M2.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jun 19, 2028
YES 71¢
NO 29¢

I'm specifically asking about a prominent AI researcher (or someone similar) engaging in some problematic sexual activity. Must be publicized in a major news outlet. Resolves subjectively, though I'll avoid betting in the market myself.

timeline
opened · Jun 18, 2023opencloses · Jun 19, 2028
Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Manifoldmanifold
If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
yes32¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
In 2028, AI be as big a political issue as abortion91¢· 0.0ppIn 2027, AI be as big a political issue as abortion82¢· 0.0ppIn 2026, AI be as big a political issue as abortion71¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
M0 24h · 6 markets
Manifoldmanifold
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
yes87¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?
yes87¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will AI displace social drinking within 5 years?
yes8¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?
yes40¢
M0 24h · 1 market