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Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 18:09 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years?” at 71%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

71%
vol cum
M2.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jun 19, 2028
YES 71¢
NO 29¢

I'm specifically asking about a prominent AI researcher (or someone similar) engaging in some problematic sexual activity. Must be publicized in a major news outlet. Resolves subjectively, though I'll avoid betting in the market myself.

ai
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opened · Jun 18, 2023opencloses · Jun 19, 2028
Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years? · prices over time
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