Artificially produced gold on a significant scale by 2035?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 10:47 UTC on 14 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Artificially produced gold on a significant scale by 2035?” at 12%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

Resolves yes if before 2035 there is a scaled process in use producing gold starting from other elements. The prompt for this question is https://www.marathonfusion.com but it does not have to be this technology. Significant scale will be at least 2 different facilities, each producing at least 1000kg of gold in one year. [link preview]