Will there be 100 people in space at the same time before 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 06:46 UTC on 3 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be 100 people in space at the same time before 2030?” at 11%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

11%

vol cum

M9.1k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2030

As determined by https://www.howmanypeopleareinspacerightnow.com/ or another reliable source. The record as of market creation is 19 people in space at once. If case of ambiguity, "in space" means above the Kármán line. There's no requirement that they be in orbit.