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Will OpenAI be one of the top 5 most valuable companies before 2040?
Manifold·Finance
As of 06:46 UTC on 3 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Will OpenAI be one of the top 5 most valuable companies before 2040?” at 39%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

39%
vol cum
M9.1k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2039
YES 39¢
NO 61¢
Based on Market Capitalisation, will OpenAI be in the top 5 most valuable companies at any point before 2040? Based on speculation around their upcoming funding round in Dec 2023, OpenAI could be currently valued at $100 billion Currently the top 5 is: Microsoft ~3T Apple ~2.8T Saudi Aramco ~2T Nvidia ~1.8T Google ~1.8T OpenAI is rumored to be working on Consumer Hardware (with Apple's Johnny Ive) Search Engine Custom AI Chips
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opened · Feb 16, 2024opencloses · Dec 31, 2039