Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺
As of 23:10 UTC on 8 Aug 2026, the highest-priced of the 27 markets in “Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? 🪖🇪🇺” on Manifold are “Croatia 🇭🇷” at 93%, “Poland 🇵🇱” at 59% and “Serbia 🇷🇸” at 59%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.
[image]In light of increasing interstate conflicts in the 2020s, many European countries may reconsider their stance on conscription. Partial conscription, as seen in Sweden, could become more common across Europe. This market is based on official changes to conscription policy and laws, not necessarily on conscription being implemented on the ground. Therefore, as long as it is officially established, it counts.
