Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?

Manifold·Culture

As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?” at 39%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

Resolves YES if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the series A Song Of Ice And Fire is released by end of 2030, and is authored by George R. R. Martin.