Will the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire be published before George R. R. Martin dies?
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire be published before George R. R. Martin dies?” at 17%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.
Resolves YES if the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire is published before George R. R. Martin dies. The book must be described as the final, concluding book of the series in official announcements prior to its publication. (If it is announced that no more books will be published, but it is widely agreed that the series was not concluded, then that would not count.) Otherwise, resolves NO when George R. R. Martin dies. The close date of this market will be extended as necessary, it is not required that the publication happens before the close date.
