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Will we see more "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 19:46 UTC on 3 Sep 2026, Manifold prices “Will we see more "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?” at 91%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Opinion.

91%
vol cum
M1.2k
vol 24h
M0
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n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2028
YES 91¢
NO 9¢

Prediction #2 in my "Great Logging Off" market Meta-market: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2 Blog post: https://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off This resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion: There is a SIGNIFICANT increase in "verified human" verification systems across most online platforms Compared to ~2020, people become reliant on these systems to tell humans from bots We see significant increases in platform surveillance technology and methods of all types Dec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by 2027? → Will we see an increased premium put on "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027? Dec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027? → Will we see more "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?

aithe-great-logging-off
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opened · Dec 27, 2022opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
Will we see more "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027? · prices over time
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