Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
As of 23:06 UTC on 8 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?” on Polymarket are “Anthropic” at 40% (+14pp in 24h), “Microsoft” at 40% (+14pp in 24h) and “Perplexity” at 23% (-3pp in 24h). The event has $6.2k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.
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$6.2k
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AITechamazonBig TechAnthropicmicrosoftPerplexity
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Anthropic
rank #1
40¢
▲ 13.5pp
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$1.5k
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$1.5k
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0.01
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Jan 1, 2027
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user and carries out tasks, such as sending email and booking travel (https://about.fb.com/news/2026/09/introducing-muse-personal-ai-agent/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company launches a Muse-like personal agent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Muse-like personal agent is an AI agent that runs on a cloud computer provided by the listed company that is dedicated to the individual user and remains assigned to that user between tasks, can begin tasks on its own, such as on a schedule or when a new email arrives, and can take actions on websites or in the user's connected accounts, such as sending email or submitting forms.
Computing environments created for each task or session will not qualify. Products limited to a single type of task, such as coding, software development, email, or travel booking, offered only through an API, or sold only to businesses will not qualify.
A Muse-like personal agent must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to paid subscription plans or to certain countries will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
