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Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?
Manifold·Science and Technology
As of 06:49 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?” at 15%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.
15%
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M48.8k
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Nov 22, 2029
YES 15¢
NO 85¢
Resolves YES if he agrees with this publicly. Otherwise, at market close, I'll ask him somehow, and resolve based on the answer. Resolves N/A if he doesn't answer me. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/j9Q8bRmwCgXRYAgcJ/miri-announces-new-death-with-dignity-strategy I will not trade on this market after 2022.
timeline
opened · Dec 2, 2022opencloses · Nov 22, 2029