p|datav0.1news188
HomeMarketsHubsNews188MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsNews188MapMonitor
theme
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026
markets·Politics
opentrade on Manifold ↗
marketsingle market

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?

Manifold·Politics
Cuba
W
49%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M26.6k
vol 24h
M25
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 49¢
NO 51¢

The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title. Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Miguel Díaz-Canel. If there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus. I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.

timeline
opened · Feb 9, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
prices over time · Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? highlighted
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Polymarketpolymarket
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
yes7¢▲ 1.0pp
$169 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Regime change in Cuba by 2030?
yes62¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
Geminigemini
Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office?
Before September 1, 2026—Before June 1, 20260¢Before April 1, 20260¢
+1 others
4 markets
Kalshikalshi
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez90¢· 0.0ppMaría Corina Machado5¢· 0.0ppNicolás Maduro2¢· 0.0pp
+5 others
$0 24h · 8 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
June 309¢· 0.0ppDecember 3153¢▼ 6.5ppMarch 310¢
$3.1k 24h · 3 markets
Manifoldmanifold
Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?
yes18¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market