Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
Yes 44% on Manifold as of 06:14 UTC on 4 Nov 2026 for “Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?”. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.
Manifold·Science and Technology
marketsingle market
44%
vol cum
M8.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Sep 9, 2100
YES 44¢
NO 56¢
An attempted AI takeover An AI system malfunctions A single disaster or related ones, not just "every AI disaster over 50 years" 1T adjusted to inflation
timeline
opened · Sep 2, 2023opencloses · Sep 9, 2100