Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.
As of 14:59 UTC on 30 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.” at 1%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
I've heard rumors and that was enough to get me here to make a market. Then I saw this (after I made the market, lol) https://x.com/farzyness/status/1866121558898393343 I'm going out on a major limb and taking the yes side of this and going Plus on the market because I like long-shots and I know there's going to be a lot of 'No' action. This resolves to 'Yes' if a deal is struck (it doesn't have to be fully implemented) by the end of the Trump admin. I say "end of Trump admin" because this would resolve to 'Yes' if, God forbid, Trump were not able to continue as the President, but say J.D. Vance or another person took over in his stead. So long as the annexation of Canada is complete as a signed agreement by both parties and voted upon by the citizens (if needed) to make it official, before the Trump admin leaves office, this resolves to 'Yes' If Canada retains their sovereignty past inaguration day for the next presidential administration, which should be 1/20/2029, then this market will resolve to 'No' This AI clarification is correct. ~ Author. Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The market will resolve based on the presidential inauguration date, even if that date changes from January 20, 2029 Must include all of Canada, not just individual provinces Resolves to No if: America joins under Canadian rule Both countries dissolve into something else or smaller factions
