Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?” at 17%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.
Criteria for Resolution: 1. Terrorist Operation: There must be an organized terrorist operation explicitly aimed at OpenAI. 2. Confirmation of Intent: - The intent to target OpenAI must be explicitly stated by the terrorists responsible for the attack. - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports. 3. Nature of the Operation: - The operation must involve direct terrorist actions, such as strikes, sabotage, or cyber-attacks targeting OpenAI research facilities, data centers, or key infrastructure related to AI development. - Operations solely involving espionage, intelligence gathering, or sanctions do not qualify. There must be at least one OpenAI employee death to qualify.
