Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 17:38 UTC on 4 Sep 2026, Manifold prices “Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?” at 56%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Gemini and Polymarket.

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Jan 1, 2031

Resolves Yes if Elon Musk is the richest person in the world according to Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/ If Forbes doesn’t exist it will be based on popular reporting of the matter. Resolves No otherwise