Will Elon Musk/X prevail in a lawsuit against Media Matters?
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Elon Musk/X prevail in a lawsuit against Media Matters?” at 13%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Myriad.
Elon Musk has stated that X Corp (formerly Twitter) will be filing a "thermonuclear lawsuit" against Media Matters on Monday, November 20th. [image]This question will resolve as follows: If the parties settle out of court with Media Matters making a substantial payment (>$1 million) to Musk/X, it resolves as YES. In the case of a smaller settlement (e.g. retraction/apology without payment), I will resolve as N/A; for the purposes of this question, I don't consider Media Matters caving to the threat of a lawsuit to count as Musk/X prevailing in court, unless it comes with a substantial settlement. If there is no lawsuit filed by 2024-02-29, or if Musk/X clearly state before that date that they will not be filing a suit, it resolves as NO. If the case goes to court, the question resolves at the close of the lawsuit, based on who wins. I will not participate in this market. Updated 2023-12-12: Pushed out the close date to EOY 2024 since the lawsuit has actually been filed now.
