Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Manifold·Culture

As of 00:45 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?” at 3%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

3%

vol cum

M41.3k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 21, 2029

Elon Musk has been nominated for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts in promoting free speech. The nomination was proposed by Branko Grims, a Slovenian Member of the European Parliament, highlighting Musk's global advocacy. Update 2025-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria: The market will resolve no later than the end of Trump’s 2nd term.