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Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Manifold·Politics
United States

As of 15:27 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?” at 4%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Gemini, Limitless and Kalshi.

4%
vol cum
M110.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2029
YES 4¢
NO 96¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline
opened · Nov 8, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2029
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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