p|datav0.1news233
marketsingle market

Will polling show that humans perceive AI as a threat before 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology
76%
vol cum
M14.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 76¢
NO 24¢

For this market to resolve "YES": We need three major polls with a >50% "yes" response to some variant of the question "Do you feel AI is a threat to the human race" (not just to jobs). We need to see at least one such poll in three different OECD countries, and one of those has to be the United States. If we don't see three such polls before 2030, this market resolves NO.

timeline
opened · Mar 24, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
Will polling show that humans perceive AI as a threat before 2030? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata