marketsingle market
Will SF homelessness be solved by 2040?
United States
25%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M17.6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2041
YES 25¢
NO 75¢
For purposes of this market, I will consider SF homelessness to be "solved" if there (i) is estimated to be fewer than 500 people in SF living in homelessness, or (ii) I determine, by my personal judgment using the information available to me, that SF homelessness in 2040 is not a humanitarian issue. For reference, as of 2022 there are an estimated ~7.5k people living in homelessness. I will use a data source akin to this for market evaluation: https://sfgov.org/scorecards/safety-net/homeless-population I may bet in this market.
timeline
opened · Jun 16, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2041