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event12 outcomes

Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?

Manifold·Politics·ends Nov 4, 2026

As of 09:18 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Nithya Raman” leads “Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?” on Manifold at 51% (+7pp in 24h), followed by “Karen Bass” at 49% (-7pp in 24h) and “Asaad Alnajjar” at 0%, out of 12 outcomes. The event has M$1.8k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
M183.7k
vol 24h
M1.8k
outcomes
12
ends
Nov 4, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 12

Los Angeles will hold a mayoral election on 2 June 2026, and a runoff election on 3 November 2026 if no candidate wins a majority. The current mayor, Karen Bass, is seeking a fourth term in office (LA Times). This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins LA's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else. Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026? Feel free to add answers.

us-politicslos-angeleselectionspolitics-default
marketselected outcome
Nithya Raman
rank #1
United States
51¢
▲ 6.9pp
24h change
vol cum
M47.2k
vol 24h
M450
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 4, 2026
timeline
opened · May 20, 2026opencloses · Nov 4, 2026
Nithya Raman · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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