Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
As of 09:18 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Nithya Raman” leads “Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?” on Manifold at 51% (+7pp in 24h), followed by “Karen Bass” at 49% (-7pp in 24h) and “Asaad Alnajjar” at 0%, out of 12 outcomes. The event has M$1.8k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.
Los Angeles will hold a mayoral election on 2 June 2026, and a runoff election on 3 November 2026 if no candidate wins a majority. The current mayor, Karen Bass, is seeking a fourth term in office (LA Times). This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins LA's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else. Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026? Feel free to add answers.