Will Half-Life 3 be released by end of 2030
As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Half-Life 3 be released by end of 2030” at 69%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.
It need not be titled with a numeral 3, but the game must be officially created or licensed by Valve or whoever owns the rights be released purposefully, ie not leaked be a continuation, narrative-wise, of Half-life 2: Episode 2. A minor addition such as what was in Half-life: Alyx will not count It must be an interactive narrative of some sort. A visual novel would resolve this YES, a comic or book would not resolve this There may be some amount of subjectivity here, I will try to resolve in the spirit of the market. I will not trade on this market. Apr 23, 11:43am: Will Half-Life 3 be released by end of 2030 → (M1000 subsidy!) Will Half-Life 3 be released by end of 2030
