Will there be an electric* passenger airliner in commercial operation before 2028?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 08:27 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be an electric* passenger airliner in commercial operation before 2028?” at 29%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

Propulsion must be electric, but power can be generated from e.g. hydrogen fuel cells as well.