Will Artificial Intelligence pilot an aircraft with human passengers completely autonomously before 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 23:58 UTC on 28 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Will Artificial Intelligence pilot an aircraft with human passengers completely autonomously before 2030?” at 57%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

The AI must be in full control of the aircraft from the beginning of takeoff to the end of landing with no human intervention in control. The aircraft must be carrying living human passengers.