Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)” at 68%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket and Manifold.
This market is resolved when a permanent peace treaty is signed between Ukrainian and Russian governments, or the total capitulation of either side. Sep 29, 9:44pm: added capitulation clause. Oct 1, 12:37pm: A temporary ceasefire that lasts over a year without casualties, while Russia still occupies the territories in question will resolve market to YES. Close date updated to 2025-12-23 11:59 pm Close date updated to 2053-12-23 11:59 pm
