marketsingle market
Will humanity survive until 2100?

90%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M18.8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2100
YES 90¢
NO 10¢
Full question: Humanity will not go extinct before 2100. At least 1 thousand humans or human descendants (e.g., mind uploads) will be alive in 2100. One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions. Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)
timeline
opened · Mar 26, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2100